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Ligue 1
New Jack vs FC Mk de Kinshasa
Wed 11 Nov 12:00 2 days, 7 hours
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Under 3.5 goals · 89.2%
why
• league PROVEN (75.9%, n=29)
• type ledger 72% (n=342)
league track
proven · 75.9% of 29 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 57.9%)
draws 45.0% of matches
team history 3/4 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U3.5: 71.6% hit (n=342, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.6% (n=97)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
89.2%
Under 3.5 goals
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
34.2%
Draw
36.8%
Away win
29.0%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:53
scoring fit λ 0.94 / μ 0.85
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 448 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
29.0%
|
3.44x | 43.8% n=448 | risky |
| top Draw |
36.8%
|
2.72x | 43.8% n=448 | risky |
| Home win |
34.2%
|
2.93x | 43.8% n=448 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — New Jack 0W / 1D / 0L
· momentum New Jack 0.67 ppg vs FC Mk de Ki… 1.5 ppg
New Jack · last 6
05 Nov · Ligue 1
0-0
D
24 Oct · Ligue 1
0-0
D
21 Oct · Ligue 1
2-0
L
18 Apr · Ligue 1
0-0
D
14 Apr · Ligue 1
1-1
D
01 Apr · Ligue 1
1-2
L
FC Mk de Kinshasa · last 6
07 Nov · Ligue 1
1-1
D
31 Oct · Ligue 1
0-1
W
25 Oct · Ligue 1
0-0
D
20 Oct · Ligue 1
1-1
D
04 Apr · Ligue 1
3-0
L
01 Apr · Ligue 1
0-1
W
Head-to-head last 5
04 Feb 26 · Ligue 1
FC Mk de Kinsha… 1-1 New Jack