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Ligue 1
Blessing vs Saint-luc
Tomorrow 15:00 1 day, 7 hours
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 83.2%
why
• league PROVEN (75.9%, n=29)
• type ledger 80% (n=1995)
league track
proven · 75.9% of 29 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 57.9%)
draws 43.3% of matches
team history 2/4 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.8% hit (n=1995, 90d ledger)
measured band: 81.5% (n=427)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
83.2%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (83.2%)
@ 10 Nov 06:08
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
48.0%
Draw
35.3%
Away win
16.8%
calibrated 10 Nov 06:08
scoring fit λ 1.47 / μ 0.83
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 448 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
16.8%
|
5.97x | 43.8% n=448 | risky |
| Draw |
35.3%
|
2.83x | 43.8% n=448 | risky |
| top Home win |
48.0%
|
2.08x | 43.8% n=448 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 2 meetings — Blessing 1W / 0D / 1L
· momentum Blessing 1.0 ppg vs Saint-luc 0.5 ppg
Blessing · last 6
26 Oct · Ligue 1
2-1
W
20 Oct · Ligue 1
2-1
L
15 Apr · Ligue 1
3-0
L
09 Apr · Ligue 1
2-0
L
05 Apr · Ligue 1
2-1
L
02 Apr · Ligue 1
1-0
W
Saint-luc · last 6
05 Nov · Ligue 1
0-1
L
30 Oct · Ligue 1
1-1
D
26 Oct · Ligue 1
0-0
D
20 Oct · Ligue 1
2-0
L
11 Apr · Ligue 1
2-2
D
05 Apr · Ligue 1
3-1
L
Head-to-head last 5
02 Apr 26 · Ligue 1
Blessing 1-0 Saint-luc
19 Nov 25 · Ligue 1
Saint-luc 1-0 Blessing