Ta
HOME
Ligue 1

Tanganyika vs AS New Soger

Wed 11 Nov 15:00 2 days, 10 hours
AS
AWAY
back to predictions
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 85.9%
why
• league PROVEN (75.9%, n=29)
• type ledger 80% (n=1979)
league track
proven · 75.9% of 29 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 57.9%)
draws 45.0% of matches
team history 4/4 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1979, 90d ledger)
measured band: 84.9% (n=292)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
85.9%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw solid (85.9%)
@ 09 Nov 02:53
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
52.8%
Draw
33.1%
Away win
14.1%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:53
scoring fit λ 1.66 / μ 0.82
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 448 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
14.1%
7.1x 43.8% n=448 risky
Draw
33.1%
3.02x 43.8% n=448 risky
top Home win
52.8%
1.89x 43.8% n=448 risky
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 2 meetings — Tanganyika 2W / 0D / 0L · momentum Tanganyika 1.67 ppg vs AS New Soger 0.5 ppg
Tanganyika · last 6
04 Nov · Ligue 1 1-1 D
30 Oct · Ligue 1 1-1 D
26 Oct · Ligue 1 1-1 D
20 Oct · Ligue 1 2-1 W
15 Apr · Ligue 1 3-2 W
11 Apr · Ligue 1 2-2 D
AS New Soger · last 6
05 Nov · Ligue 1 1-2 L
30 Oct · Ligue 1 0-0 D
26 Oct · Ligue 1 0-0 D
20 Oct · Ligue 1 0-0 D
15 Apr · Ligue 1 0-3 L
10 Apr · Ligue 1 3-1 L
Head-to-head last 5
18 Mar 26 · Ligue 1 AS New Soger 0-1 Tanganyika
02 Nov 25 · Ligue 1 Tanganyika 1-0 AS New Soger
Tickets including this match
VALUE win chance 73.1% OPEN