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Ligue 1

JSK vs Céleste

Sun 08 Nov 16:00 0 minutes final 0–2 · 0 won · 1 lost
Cé
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 81.9%
why
• league PROVEN (75.9%, n=29)
• type ledger 80% (n=1979)
league track
proven · 75.9% of 29 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 57.9%)
draws 45.0% of matches
team history 16/15 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1979, 90d ledger)
measured band: 82.0% (n=423)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
81.9%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw solid (81.9%)
@ 08 Nov 17:28
pick lost
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
47.1%
Draw
34.8%
Away win
18.1%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:28
scoring fit λ 1.44 / μ 0.84
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 448 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
18.1%
5.53x 43.8% n=448 risky won
Draw
34.8%
2.87x 43.8% n=448 risky lost
top Home win
47.1%
2.12x 43.8% n=448 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 10 meetings — JSK 6W / 0D / 4L · momentum JSK 1.0 ppg vs Céleste 1.83 ppg
JSK · last 6
08 Nov · Ligue 1 0-2 L
29 Oct · Ligue 1 1-2 L
24 Oct · Ligue 1 1-2 W
20 Oct · Ligue 1 0-1 L
11 Sep · CAF Champions League 3-0 L
06 Sep · CAF Champions League 1-0 W
Céleste · last 6
08 Nov · Ligue 1 0-2 W
04 Nov · Ligue 1 0-1 W
30 Oct · Ligue 1 2-1 W
25 Oct · Ligue 1 0-0 D
20 Oct · Ligue 1 1-1 D
20 Jun · Ligue 1 2-0 L
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Ligue 1 JSK 0-2 Céleste
29 May 26 · Ligue 1 Céleste 1-3 JSK
18 May 26 · Ligue 1 JSK 2-0 Céleste
14 Apr 26 · Ligue 1 JSK 1-2 Céleste
24 Nov 25 · Ligue 1 Céleste 0-1 JSK