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Ligue 1

Saint-luc vs Lubumbashi Sport

Thu 05 Nov 13:00 0 minutes final 0–1 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Under 3.5 goals · 86.0%
why
• league PROVEN (75.9%, n=29)
• type ledger 71% (n=343)
league track
proven · 75.9% of 29 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 57.9%)
draws 43.3% of matches
team history 4/3 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U3.5: 71.4% hit (n=343, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.6% (n=97)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
86.0%
Under 3.5 goals
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Under 3.5 goals solid (86.0%)
@ 05 Nov 10:47
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
38.3%
Draw
35.5%
Away win
26.2%
calibrated 05 Nov 10:47
scoring fit λ 1.11 / μ 0.88
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 448 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
26.2%
3.81x 43.8% n=448 risky won
Draw
35.5%
2.82x 43.8% n=448 risky lost
top Home win
38.3%
2.61x 43.8% n=448 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 3 meetings — Saint-luc 0W / 1D / 2L · momentum Saint-luc 0.5 ppg vs Lubumbashi … 1.17 ppg
Saint-luc · last 6
05 Nov · Ligue 1 0-1 L
30 Oct · Ligue 1 1-1 D
26 Oct · Ligue 1 0-0 D
20 Oct · Ligue 1 2-0 L
11 Apr · Ligue 1 2-2 D
05 Apr · Ligue 1 3-1 L
Lubumbashi Sport · last 6
05 Nov · Ligue 1 0-1 W
30 Oct · Ligue 1 1-0 W
26 Oct · Ligue 1 2-1 L
26 Mar · Ligue 1 0-0 D
22 Mar · Ligue 1 4-2 L
13 Mar · Ligue 1 0-1 L
Head-to-head last 5
05 Nov 26 · Ligue 1 Saint-luc 0-1 Lubumbashi Sport
07 Feb 26 · Ligue 1 Saint-luc 0-0 Lubumbashi Sport
11 Jan 26 · Ligue 1 Lubumbashi Sport 1-0 Saint-luc
Tickets including this match
VALUE win chance 72.8% WON VALUE win chance 72.8% VOID VALUE win chance 74.3% VOID VALUE win chance 73.9% VOID VALUE win chance 74.3% VOID VALUE win chance 74.3% VOID