HOME
Ligue 1
Rangers FC vs New Jack
Thu 05 Nov 16:00 0 minutes final 0–0 · 1 won · 0 lostNe
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 79.1%
why
• league PROVEN (75.9%, n=29)
• type ledger 80% (n=1994)
league track
proven · 75.9% of 29 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 57.9%)
draws 43.3% of matches
team history 4/3 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.8% hit (n=1994, 90d ledger)
measured band: 79.6% (n=582)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
79.1%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (79.1%)
@ 05 Nov 17:33
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
42.8%
Draw
36.3%
Away win
20.9%
calibrated 05 Nov 17:33
scoring fit λ 1.14 / μ 0.73
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 448 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
20.9%
|
4.78x | 43.8% n=448 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
36.3%
|
2.76x | 43.8% n=448 | risky | won |
| top Home win |
42.8%
|
2.34x | 43.8% n=448 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 5 meetings — Rangers FC 2W / 2D / 1L
· momentum Rangers FC 0.33 ppg vs New Jack 0.67 ppg
Rangers FC · last 6
05 Nov · Ligue 1
0-0
D
31 Oct · Ligue 1
2-1
L
26 Oct · Ligue 1
0-1
L
20 Oct · Ligue 1
0-0
D
12 Apr · Ligue 1
0-3
L
09 Apr · Ligue 1
0-1
L
New Jack · last 6
05 Nov · Ligue 1
0-0
D
24 Oct · Ligue 1
0-0
D
21 Oct · Ligue 1
2-0
L
18 Apr · Ligue 1
0-0
D
14 Apr · Ligue 1
1-1
D
01 Apr · Ligue 1
1-2
L
Head-to-head last 5
05 Nov 26 · Ligue 1
Rangers FC 0-0 New Jack
08 Feb 26 · Ligue 1
Rangers FC 2-0 New Jack
17 Dec 25 · Ligue 1
New Jack 2-0 Rangers FC
11 Mar 25 · Ligue 1
Rangers FC 2-0 New Jack
11 Dec 24 · Ligue 1
New Jack 1-1 Rangers FC