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Pro League U23
Bani Yas U23 vs Ajman U23
Today 14:55 11 hours, 31 minutesAj
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 5.5 goals · 93.5%
why
• league WATCH (54.5%, n=11)
• type ledger 91% (n=47)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
watch · 54.5% of 11 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 28.0%)
draws 30.0% of matches
team history 8/8 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U5.5: 91.5% hit (n=47, 90d ledger)
measured band: 96.7% (n=30)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3022)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
93.5%
Under 5.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
60.6%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
15.3%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:53
scoring fit λ 1.92 / μ 0.88
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 84 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
15.3%
|
6.53x | 35.7% n=84 | risky |
| Draw |
24.1%
|
4.15x | 35.7% n=84 | risky |
| top Home win |
60.6%
|
1.65x | 35.7% n=84 | lean |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Bani Yas U23 1W / 0D / 0L
· momentum Bani Yas U23 1.83 ppg vs Ajman U23 0.83 ppg
Bani Yas U23 · last 6
02 Nov · Pro League U23
0-0
D
17 Oct · Pro League U23
0-0
D
12 Sep · Pro League U23
1-2
L
06 Sep · Pro League U23
2-0
W
31 Aug · Pro League U23
2-3
W
24 Aug · Pro League U23
4-2
W
Ajman U23 · last 6
30 Oct · Pro League U23
0-2
L
19 Oct · Pro League U23
0-0
D
12 Sep · Pro League U23
0-1
W
07 Sep · Pro League U23
1-0
L
30 Aug · Pro League U23
1-1
D
23 Aug · Pro League U23
1-2
L
Head-to-head last 5
22 Mar 26 · Pro League U23
Bani Yas U23 2-0 Ajman U23