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Kings Cup

Capim vs Fluxo

Today 22:00 17 hours, 29 minutes
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Both teams score · 93.5%
why
• league NEW (80.0%, n=5)
• type ledger thin (n=4)
• BTTS-Yes carries no pricing edge (90d: -21.5% at book prices, negative in every slice)
league track
new · 80.0% of 5 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 37.6%)
draws 24.4% of matches
team history 3/3 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
BTTS-Y: 25.0% hit (n=4, 90d ledger)
measured band: 59.7% (n=216)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2518)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
93.5%
Both teams score
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
39.8%
Draw
16.2%
Away win
44.0%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:53
scoring fit λ 3.30 / μ 3.44
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
44.0%
2.27x – risky
Draw
16.2%
6.18x – risky
Home win
39.8%
2.51x – risky
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Capim 0W / 1D / 0L · momentum Capim 1.33 ppg vs Fluxo 1.33 ppg
Capim · last 6
02 Nov · Kings Cup 7-4 W
26 Oct · Kings Cup 2-4 W
19 Oct · Kings Cup 3-3 D
04 Nov · Kings Cup 4-2 L
28 Oct · Kings Cup 3-3 D
25 Oct · Kings Cup 6-3 L
Fluxo · last 6
02 Nov · Kings Cup 4-4 D
26 Oct · Kings Cup 6-4 L
20 Oct · Kings Cup 3-3 D
04 Nov · Kings Cup 5-4 W
28 Oct · Kings Cup 4-3 L
25 Oct · Kings Cup 2-4 W
Head-to-head last 5
21 Oct 25 · Kings Cup Capim 1-1 Fluxo