NetScore Engine v2

Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED

RECOMMENDED

Home win · 81.2%

why

• league PROVEN (81.2%, n=16)

• type ledger 56% (n=234)

• engine's headline pick

league track

proven · 81.2% of 16 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 57.0%)

draws 26.7% of matches

team history 12/10 games (180d)

bet type · time of day

FTR-H: 56.0% hit (n=234, 90d ledger)

measured band: 78.7% (n=89)

evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)

What we suggest

All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.

Recommended

81.2%

Home win

engine's strongest option for this match

MED risk

Value

No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.

PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade

Pick validation — what the engine actually published

This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.

Home win solid (81.2%)

@ 07 Nov 18:02

pick lost

1X2 — engine vs market

Home win

81.2%

Draw

13.8%

Away win

5.0%

calibrated 07 Nov 18:02

scoring fit λ 2.32 / μ 0.39

Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID

backtested 28 Oct · 194 matches of this league

fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.

1X2

pick	chance	fair	backtest	verdict	result
Away win	5.0%	20.07x	51.0% n=194	risky	lost
Draw	13.8%	7.26x	51.0% n=194	risky	won
top Home win	81.2%	1.23x	51.0% n=194	engine pick	lost

Form & head-to-head

H2H record: 1 meetings — Aigle Royal d… 0W / 1D / 0L · momentum Aigle Royal… 1.17 ppg vs Union Abong… 1.0 ppg

Aigle Royal de Moungo · last 6

07 Nov · Elite One 1-1 D

01 Nov · Elite One 3-1 L

24 Oct · Elite One 2-1 W

18 Oct · Elite One 2-1 L

28 Jun · Elite One 2-1 W

21 Jun · Elite One 4-0 L

Union Abong-Mbang · last 6

07 Nov · Elite One 1-1 D

01 Nov · Elite One 0-2 L

25 Oct · Elite One 4-0 L

17 Oct · Elite One 2-2 D

20 Jun · Elite Two 1-1 D

17 Jun · Elite Two 0-1 W

Head-to-head last 5

07 Nov 26 · Elite One Aigle Royal de … 1-1 Union Abong-Mba…

Tickets including this match

SURESHOT win chance 88.3% WON

Aigle Royal de Moungo vs Union Abong-Mbang