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Pro League
Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain
Sun 08 Nov 17:30 0 minutes final 0–0 · settled
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 6.5 goals · 94.6%
why
• league WATCH (50.0%, n=8)
• type ledger 100% (n=28)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
watch · 50.0% of 8 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 21.5%)
draws 18.3% of matches
team history 17/18 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U6.5: 100.0% hit (n=28, 90d ledger)
measured band: 93.6% (n=1945)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
94.6%
Under 6.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
20.6%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
51.5%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:27
scoring fit λ 1.10 / μ 1.81
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 346 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
51.5%
|
1.94x | 56.9% n=346 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
27.9%
|
3.58x | 56.9% n=346 | risky | won |
| Home win |
20.6%
|
4.86x | 56.9% n=346 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 14 meetings — Al Wahda FC 5W / 5D / 4L
· momentum Al Wahda FC 2.17 ppg vs Al Ain 1.67 ppg
Al Wahda FC · last 6
08 Nov · Pro League
0-0
D
04 Nov · AFC Cup
1-2
L
28 Oct · AFC Cup
1-2
W
23 Oct · Presidents Cup
0-1
W
18 Oct · Pro League
2-3
W
14 Oct · AFC Cup
1-2
W
Al Ain · last 6
08 Nov · Pro League
0-0
D
02 Nov · AFC Champions League
1-4
W
26 Oct · AFC Champions League
2-1
W
22 Oct · Presidents Cup
3-2
L
17 Oct · Pro League
2-0
L
12 Oct · AFC Champions League
1-4
W
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Pro League
Al Wahda FC 0-0 Al Ain
01 May 26 · League Cup
Al Ain 0-0 Al Wahda FC
17 Mar 26 · Pro League
Al Wahda FC 0-1 Al Ain
17 Jan 26 · Pro League
Al Ain 2-2 Al Wahda FC
27 Feb 25 · Pro League
Al Wahda FC 2-1 Al Ain