HOME
UEFA Europa Conference League

St. Truiden vs Brann

Thu 05 Nov 22:00 0 minutes final 1–1 · 2 won · 1 lost
AWAY
back to predictions
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 77.5%
book 1.36x · even 1.30-1.55x
why
• league PROVEN (71.4%, n=56)
• type ledger 78% (n=2297)
• priced 1.36x - band hits ~65% (60d)
league track
proven · 71.4% of 56 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 58.5%)
draws 26.7% of matches
team history 25/30 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 78.5% hit (n=2297, 90d ledger)
measured band: 77.3% (n=948)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.4% hit (n=2540)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
77.5%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Over 1.5 goals solid (81.4%)
@ 05 Nov 17:33 · 1.27x
pick won
Home or Draw solid (71.6%)
@ 05 Nov 17:33 · 1.45x
board also had Over 1.5 goals 81.4% pick won
Either team wins solid (77.5%)
@ 05 Nov 17:33 · 1.36x
pick lost
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
49.1%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
28.4%
calibrated 05 Nov 17:33
scoring fit λ 1.85 / μ 1.36
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 411 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
28.4%
3.52x 45.5% n=411 risky lost
Draw
22.5%
4.45x 45.5% n=411 risky won
top Home win
49.1%
2.04x 45.5% n=411 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — St. Truiden 0W / 1D / 0L · momentum St. Truiden 1.67 ppg vs Brann 1.83 ppg
St. Truiden · last 6
08 Nov · Jupiler Pro League 4-1 W
05 Nov · UEFA Europa Conferenc… 1-1 D
01 Nov · Jupiler Pro League 1-2 L
25 Oct · Jupiler Pro League 3-2 L
22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conferenc… 0-1 W
18 Oct · Cup 4-1 W
Brann · last 6
08 Nov · Eliteserien 2-2 D
05 Nov · UEFA Europa Conferenc… 1-1 D
01 Nov · Eliteserien 3-2 W
28 Oct · NM Cupen 0-2 W
25 Oct · Eliteserien 3-2 L
22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conferenc… 1-4 W
Head-to-head last 5
05 Nov 26 · UEFA Europa Conferenc… St. Truiden 1-1 Brann