NetScore Engine v2

Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED

RECOMMENDED

Either team wins · 82.0%

book 1.27x · short <1.30x

why

• league PROVEN (71.4%, n=56)

• type ledger 75% (n=2265)

• short price 1.27x

league track

proven · 71.4% of 56 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 58.5%)

draws 26.7% of matches

team history 26/26 games (180d)

bet type · time of day

DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2265, 90d ledger)

measured band: 76.6% (n=679)

evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)

What we suggest

All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.

Recommended

82.0%

Either team wins

engine's strongest option for this match

MED risk

Value

No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.

PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade

Pick validation — what the engine actually published

This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.

Under 3.5 goals lean (59.8%)

@ 05 Nov 17:33 · 1.75x

board also had Under 5.5 goals 87.8% pick lost

Either team wins solid (82.0%)

@ 05 Nov 17:33 · 1.27x

board also had Under 5.5 goals 87.8% pick won

1X2 — engine vs market

Home win

56.4%

Draw

18.0%

Away win

25.7%

calibrated 05 Nov 17:33

scoring fit λ 1.87 / μ 1.16

model–market gap 0.0%

Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID

backtested 28 Oct · 411 matches of this league

fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.

1X2

pick	chance	fair	backtest	verdict	result
Away win	25.7%	3.9x	45.5% n=411	risky	lost
Draw	18.0%	5.56x	45.5% n=411	risky	lost
top Home win	56.4%	1.77x	45.5% n=411	lean	won

Form & head-to-head

H2H record: 1 meetings — FC Twente 1W / 0D / 0L · momentum FC Twente 2.17 ppg vs Pafos FC 1.17 ppg

FC Twente · last 6

08 Nov · Eredivisie 2-2 D

05 Nov · UEFA Europa Conferenc… 3-1 W

01 Nov · Eredivisie 0-9 W

25 Oct · Eredivisie 0-2 W

22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conferenc… 1-4 W

18 Oct · Eredivisie 1-2 L

Pafos FC · last 6

08 Nov · First Division 4-2 W

05 Nov · UEFA Europa Conferenc… 3-1 L

31 Oct · First Division 2-2 D

26 Oct · First Division 0-0 D

22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conferenc… 1-1 D

19 Oct · First Division 0-0 D

Head-to-head last 5

05 Nov 26 · UEFA Europa Conferenc… FC Twente 3-1 Pafos FC

Tickets including this match

VALUE win chance 74.6% WON

FC Twente vs Pafos FC