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UEFA Europa Conference League

FK Crvena zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes

Thu 05 Nov 19:45 0 minutes final 2–1 · 2 won · 0 lost
AWAY
back to predictions
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 90.5%
book 1.14x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (71.4%, n=56)
• type ledger 75% (n=2264)
• short price 1.14x
league track
proven · 71.4% of 56 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 58.5%)
draws 26.7% of matches
team history 31/20 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2264, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.7% (n=57)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.0% hit (n=2522)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
90.5%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Under 4.5 goals solid (71.5%)
@ 05 Nov 17:33 · 1.43x
board also had Either team wins 90.5% pick won
Either team wins solid (90.5%)
@ 05 Nov 17:33 · 1.14x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
65.8%
Draw
9.5%
Away win
24.7%
calibrated 05 Nov 17:33
scoring fit λ 2.16 / μ 1.14
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 411 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
24.7%
4.05x 45.5% n=411 risky lost
Draw
9.5%
10.49x 45.5% n=411 risky lost
top Home win
65.8%
1.52x 45.5% n=411 lean won
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — FK Crvena zve… 1W / 0D / 0L · momentum FK Crvena z… 2.67 ppg vs Inter Club … 1.0 ppg
FK Crvena zvezda · last 6
07 Nov · Super Liga 0-1 W
05 Nov · UEFA Europa Conferenc… 2-1 W
01 Nov · Super Liga 2-4 W
28 Oct · Cup 1-5 W
24 Oct · Super Liga 0-1 W
22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conferenc… 2-2 D
Inter Club d'Escaldes · last 6
08 Nov · 1a Divisió 1-1 D
05 Nov · UEFA Europa Conferenc… 2-1 L
01 Nov · 1a Divisió 0-0 D
24 Oct · 1a Divisió 1-1 D
22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conferenc… 1-3 L
18 Oct · 1a Divisió 4-2 W
Head-to-head last 5
05 Nov 26 · UEFA Europa Conferenc… FK Crvena zvezda 2-1 Inter Club d'Es…
Tickets including this match
VALUE win chance 64.4% VOID SURESHOT win chance 81.4% VOID SURESHOT win chance 86.1% VOID VALUE win chance 72.8% VOID SURESHOT win chance 77.8% WON