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Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles

Thu 05 Nov 15:00 0 minutes final 0–2 · 0 won · 1 lost
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 75.4%
why
• league PROVEN (73.3%, n=30)
• type ledger 80% (n=1994)
league track
proven · 73.3% of 30 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 55.6%)
draws 36.7% of matches
team history 5/9 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.8% hit (n=1994, 90d ledger)
measured band: 79.6% (n=582)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
75.4%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw solid (75.4%)
@ 05 Nov 10:46
pick lost
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
44.0%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
24.6%
calibrated 05 Nov 10:46
scoring fit λ 1.06 / μ 0.70
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 266 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
24.6%
4.06x 37.2% n=266 risky won
Draw
31.3%
3.19x 37.2% n=266 risky lost
top Home win
44.0%
2.27x 37.2% n=266 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Chirundu Utd 0W / 0D / 1L · momentum Chirundu Utd 1.6 ppg vs Green Eagles 2.33 ppg
Chirundu Utd · last 6
05 Nov · Super League 0-2 L
31 Oct · Super League 0-0 D
24 Oct · Super League 0-1 W
18 Oct · Super League 3-0 W
10 Oct · Super League 0-0 D
Green Eagles · last 6
05 Nov · Super League 0-2 W
31 Oct · Super League 0-0 D
24 Oct · Super League 0-0 D
17 Oct · Super League 1-0 W
10 Oct · Super League 0-1 W
03 Oct · Super League 1-4 W
Head-to-head last 5
05 Nov 26 · Super League Chirundu Utd 0-2 Green Eagles
Tickets including this match
VALUE win chance 79.3% WON VALUE win chance 79.3% VOID TREBLE win chance 70.0% WON TREBLE win chance 70.1% VOID VALUE win chance 79.3% VOID VALUE win chance 79.3% VOID