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Primera División
Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero
Sun 08 Nov 01:30 0 minutes final 0–0 · in progress
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 79.6%
book 1.38x · even 1.30-1.55x
why
• league PROVEN (81.6%, n=38)
• type ledger 75% (n=2256)
• priced 1.38x - band hits ~65% (60d)
league track
proven · 81.6% of 38 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 66.6%)
draws 16.7% of matches
team history 28/28 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.0% hit (n=2256, 90d ledger)
measured band: 74.8% (n=936)
night 00-06 kickoffs: 75.1% hit (n=470)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
79.6%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (79.6%)
@ 09 Nov 00:19 · 1.38x
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
44.1%
Draw
20.4%
Away win
35.5%
calibrated 09 Nov 00:18
scoring fit λ 1.72 / μ 1.52
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 187 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
35.5%
|
2.82x | 50.8% n=187 | risky | – |
| Draw |
20.4%
|
4.9x | 50.8% n=187 | risky | – |
| top Home win |
44.1%
|
2.27x | 50.8% n=187 | risky | – |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 18 meetings — Blooming 10W / 3D / 5L
· momentum Blooming 0.83 ppg vs Oriente Pet… 1.83 ppg
Blooming · last 6
02 Nov · Primera División
1-2
W
24 Oct · Primera División
2-1
L
18 Oct · Primera División
0-0
D
12 Oct · Primera División
1-0
L
09 Oct · Copa de la División P…
1-1
D
04 Oct · Copa de la División P…
3-2
L
Oriente Petrolero · last 6
04 Nov · Copa de la División P…
5-1
L
31 Oct · Primera División
1-1
D
26 Oct · Primera División
2-1
W
22 Oct · Copa de la División P…
3-2
W
19 Oct · Primera División
1-1
D
11 Oct · Primera División
1-0
W
Head-to-head last 5
21 Sep 26 · Copa de la División P…
Oriente Petrole… 3-1 Blooming
31 Aug 26 · Copa de la División P…
Blooming 0-3 Oriente Petrole…
31 May 26 · Primera División
Oriente Petrole… 0-1 Blooming
08 Feb 26 · Torneo Amistoso de Ve…
Blooming 2-3 Oriente Petrole…
01 Feb 26 · Torneo Amistoso de Ve…
Oriente Petrole… 0-2 Blooming