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CONCACAF Nations League

Sint Maarten vs French Guyana

Today 23:00 5 hours, 29 minutes
Fr
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Draw or Away · 94.9%
why
• type ledger 75% (n=659)
• league is untracked (no graded ledger yet)
league track
new league — not enough graded picks to rate
draws 11.7% of matches
team history 4/4 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 74.8% hit (n=659, 90d ledger)
measured band: 94.1% (n=34)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.4% hit (n=2540)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
94.9%
Draw or Away
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
5.1%
Draw
15.8%
Away win
79.0%
calibrated 11 Nov 17:02
scoring fit λ 0.32 / μ 2.04
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 06 Nov · None matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
79.0%
1.26x – solid
Draw
15.8%
6.32x – risky
Home win
5.1%
19.47x – risky
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Sint Maarten 0W / 0D / 1L · momentum Sint Maarten 0.2 ppg vs French Guya… 2.25 ppg
Sint Maarten · last 6
06 Oct · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 4-0 L
03 Oct · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 2-4 L
29 Sep · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 1-0 L
27 Sep · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 0-1 L
31 Mar · CONCACAF Series 0-0 D
French Guyana · last 6
07 Oct · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 1-0 W
04 Oct · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 0-2 W
29 Sep · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 1-0 W
26 Sep · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 2-1 L
Head-to-head last 5
29 Sep 26 · CONCACAF Nations Leag… French Guyana 1-0 Sint Maarten