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Division One League
Ebiemo Fc vs Ebony FC
Sat 07 Nov 17:00 0 minutes final 0–1 · settledEb
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Under 3.5 goals · 89.7%
why
• league PROVEN (80.0%, n=25)
• type ledger 71% (n=343)
league track
proven · 80.0% of 25 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 60.9%)
draws 18.3% of matches
team history 7/8 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U3.5: 70.6% hit (n=343, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.6% (n=97)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 76.6% hit (n=3046)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
89.7%
Under 3.5 goals
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
30.6%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
40.1%
calibrated 07 Nov 18:00
scoring fit λ 0.80 / μ 0.97
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 721 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
40.1%
|
2.49x | 51.7% n=721 | risky | won |
| Draw |
29.3%
|
3.41x | 51.7% n=721 | risky | lost |
| Home win |
30.6%
|
3.27x | 51.7% n=721 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Ebiemo Fc 0W / 0D / 1L
· momentum Ebiemo Fc 1.0 ppg vs Ebony FC 2.17 ppg
Ebiemo Fc · last 6
07 Nov · Division One League
0-1
L
31 Oct · Division One League
1-0
L
17 Oct · Division One League
0-1
L
10 Oct · Division One League
0-1
W
03 Oct · Division One League
1-0
W
27 Sep · Division One League
1-0
L
Ebony FC · last 6
07 Nov · Division One League
0-1
W
31 Oct · Division One League
1-0
W
17 Oct · Division One League
0-1
W
11 Oct · Division One League
1-1
D
03 Oct · Division One League
0-1
L
27 Sep · Division One League
1-2
W
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Division One League
Ebiemo Fc 0-1 Ebony FC
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