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Division One League
Kalibi Sc vs Sankara Nationals
Sat 07 Nov 17:00 0 minutes final 2–1 · settledSa
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 93.3%
why
• league PROVEN (80.0%, n=25)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
league track
proven · 80.0% of 25 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 60.9%)
draws 16.7% of matches
team history 7/7 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 94.1% (n=34)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
93.3%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
6.7%
Draw
15.5%
Away win
77.8%
calibrated 07 Nov 18:00
scoring fit λ 0.42 / μ 2.12
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 721 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
77.8%
|
1.28x | 51.7% n=721 | solid | lost |
| Draw |
15.5%
|
6.43x | 51.7% n=721 | risky | lost |
| Home win |
6.7%
|
15.04x | 51.7% n=721 | risky | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Kalibi Sc 1W / 0D / 0L
· momentum Kalibi Sc 0.83 ppg vs Sankara Nat… 2.5 ppg
Kalibi Sc · last 6
07 Nov · Division One League
2-1
W
31 Oct · Division One League
3-0
L
17 Oct · Division One League
1-1
D
11 Oct · Division One League
3-0
L
03 Oct · Division One League
0-0
D
27 Sep · Division One League
4-1
L
Sankara Nationals · last 6
07 Nov · Division One League
2-1
L
31 Oct · Division One League
4-0
W
17 Oct · Division One League
0-1
W
10 Oct · Division One League
1-0
W
03 Oct · Division One League
1-0
W
27 Sep · Division One League
0-1
W
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Division One League
Kalibi Sc 2-1 Sankara Nationa…
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