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Feminine Division 1
Saint-malo Women vs Marseille Women
Sat 07 Nov 22:00 0 minutes final 1–2 · 1 won · 0 lostMa
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 94.6%
book 1.16x · short <1.30x
why
• league OK (72.7%, n=22)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
• short price 1.16x
league track
ok · 72.7% of 22 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 51.8%)
draws 25.0% of matches
team history 7/8 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 94.1% (n=34)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.0% hit (n=2522)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
94.6%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away
solid (94.6%)
@ 07 Nov 17:58 · 1.16x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
5.4%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
72.2%
calibrated 07 Nov 17:58
scoring fit λ 0.64 / μ 2.32
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 139 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
72.2%
|
1.38x | 64.0% n=139 | solid | won |
| Draw |
22.4%
|
4.47x | 64.0% n=139 | risky | lost |
| Home win |
5.4%
|
18.5x | 64.0% n=139 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Saint-malo Wo… 0W / 0D / 1L
· momentum Saint-malo … 0.5 ppg vs Marseille W… 1.5 ppg
Saint-malo Women · last 6
07 Nov · Feminine Division 1
1-2
L
31 Oct · Feminine Division 1
3-1
L
17 Oct · Feminine Division 1
0-2
L
03 Oct · Feminine Division 1
2-0
L
19 Sep · Feminine Division 1
0-2
L
12 Sep · Feminine Division 1
1-0
W
Marseille Women · last 6
07 Nov · Feminine Division 1
1-2
W
31 Oct · Feminine Division 1
1-0
W
24 Oct · Feminine Division 1
5-0
L
17 Oct · Feminine Division 1
2-2
D
03 Oct · Feminine Division 1
3-3
D
19 Sep · Feminine Division 1
0-0
D
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Feminine Division 1
Saint-malo Women 1-2 Marseille Women
Tickets including this match