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Liga Premier Serie A
La Tribu De Cd. Juarez vs Cañoneros Marina
Sun 08 Nov 02:00 0 minutes final 8–0 · 1 won · 0 lostCa
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 91.7%
why
• league PROVEN (83.9%, n=31)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
• SELECT 90%+ (measured >=88%)
league track
proven · 83.9% of 31 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 67.4%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 11/10 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 90.8% (n=163)
night 00-06 kickoffs: 75.3% hit (n=473)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
91.7%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (91.7%)
@ 08 Nov 03:35
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
76.4%
Draw
15.3%
Away win
8.3%
calibrated 08 Nov 03:35
scoring fit λ 2.82 / μ 0.89
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 438 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
8.3%
|
12.04x | 53.9% n=438 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
15.3%
|
6.53x | 53.9% n=438 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
76.4%
|
1.31x | 53.9% n=438 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — La Tribu De C… 1W / 0D / 0L
· momentum La Tribu De… 1.0 ppg vs Cañoneros M… 0.0 ppg
La Tribu De Cd. Juarez · last 6
08 Nov · Liga Premier Serie A
8-0
W
31 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
3-1
L
25 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
2-0
W
17 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
5-0
L
11 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
0-2
L
03 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
3-1
L
Cañoneros Marina · last 6
08 Nov · Liga Premier Serie A
8-0
L
31 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
2-4
L
17 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
3-1
L
10 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
1-7
L
04 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
3-0
L
26 Sep · Liga Premier Serie A
0-2
L
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Liga Premier Serie A
La Tribu De Cd.… 8-0 Cañoneros Marina