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I Liga - Women
Z. Moravce-vrable Women vs Petržalka Women
Sat 07 Nov 16:00 0 minutes final 11–1 · settledPe
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 94.6%
why
• league OK (72.2%, n=18)
• type ledger 78% (n=2311)
league track
ok · 72.2% of 18 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 49.1%)
draws 10.0% of matches
team history 12/15 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 78.5% hit (n=2311, 90d ledger)
measured band: 85.5% (n=62)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 76.6% hit (n=3052)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
94.6%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
89.8%
Draw
5.4%
Away win
4.8%
calibrated 07 Nov 11:04
scoring fit λ 4.28 / μ 1.04
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 128 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
4.8%
|
20.75x | 71.1% n=128 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
5.4%
|
18.43x | 71.1% n=128 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
89.8%
|
1.11x | 71.1% n=128 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 2 meetings — Z. Moravce-vr… 1W / 0D / 1L
· momentum Z. Moravce-… 1.67 ppg vs Petržalka W… 0.17 ppg
Z. Moravce-vrable Women · last 6
07 Nov · I Liga - Women
11-1
W
31 Oct · I Liga - Women
1-1
D
24 Oct · I Liga - Women
2-5
L
17 Oct · I Liga - Women
0-5
L
03 Oct · I Liga - Women
1-5
W
26 Sep · I Liga - Women
3-5
W
Petržalka Women · last 6
07 Nov · I Liga - Women
11-1
L
31 Oct · I Liga - Women
1-1
D
24 Oct · I Liga - Women
2-1
L
17 Oct · I Liga - Women
5-0
L
03 Oct · I Liga - Women
2-5
L
26 Sep · I Liga - Women
1-4
L
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · I Liga - Women
Z. Moravce-vrab… 11-1 Petržalka Women
29 Aug 26 · I Liga - Women
Petržalka Women 4-0 Z. Moravce-vrab…