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Ligue A

Young Star vs Olympic Star

Sun 08 Nov 15:00 0 minutes final 0–0 · settled
Ol
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 5.5 goals · 91.6%
why
• league OK (69.0%, n=42)
• type ledger 91% (n=47)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
ok · 69.0% of 42 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 54.0%)
draws 23.3% of matches
team history 12/11 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U5.5: 91.5% hit (n=47, 90d ledger)
measured band: 96.7% (n=30)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
91.6%
Under 5.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
9.5%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
64.9%
calibrated 08 Nov 10:39
scoring fit λ 0.82 / μ 2.17
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 236 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
top Away win
64.9%
1.54x 49.6% n=236 lean lost
Draw
25.6%
3.9x 49.6% n=236 risky won
Home win
9.5%
10.53x 49.6% n=236 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Young Star 0W / 1D / 0L · momentum Young Star 0.83 ppg vs Olympic Star 2.0 ppg
Young Star · last 6
08 Nov · Ligue A 0-0 D
04 Nov · Ligue A 6-1 L
30 Oct · Ligue A 0-1 L
25 Oct · Ligue A 1-0 L
17 Oct · Ligue A 2-0 W
13 Oct · Ligue A 1-1 D
Olympic Star · last 6
08 Nov · Ligue A 0-0 D
04 Nov · Ligue A 3-1 W
29 Oct · Ligue A 2-2 D
25 Oct · Ligue A 1-1 D
18 Oct · Ligue A 2-0 W
10 Oct · Ligue A 1-0 W
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Ligue A Young Star 0-0 Olympic Star
Tickets including this match
TREBLE win chance 77.3% VOID TREBLE win chance 77.3% VOID TREBLE win chance 77.3% VOID TREBLE win chance 77.9% VOID TREBLE win chance 77.9% VOID TREBLE win chance 77.9% VOID