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Super League 2
Zakynthos vs Niki Volos
Sun 08 Nov 18:00 0 minutes
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 5.5 goals · 92.6%
why
• league PROVEN (69.6%, n=46)
• type ledger 91% (n=47)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
proven · 69.6% of 46 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 55.2%)
draws 28.3% of matches
team history 10/13 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U5.5: 91.5% hit (n=47, 90d ledger)
measured band: 96.7% (n=30)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2518)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
92.6%
Under 5.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
3.0%
Draw
15.0%
Away win
82.0%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:26
scoring fit λ 0.38 / μ 2.45
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 253 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
82.0%
|
1.22x | 56.1% n=253 | solid |
| Draw |
15.0%
|
6.68x | 56.1% n=253 | risky |
| Home win |
3.0%
|
32.9x | 56.1% n=253 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
· momentum Zakynthos 0.5 ppg vs Niki Volos 2.33 ppg
Zakynthos · last 6
01 Nov · Super League 2
1-1
D
25 Oct · Super League 2
2-3
L
18 Oct · Super League 2
1-1
D
12 Oct · Super League 2
3-0
L
05 Oct · Super League 2
1-1
D
27 Sep · Super League 2
1-0
L
Niki Volos · last 6
01 Nov · Super League 2
2-1
W
28 Oct · Cup
0-1
W
25 Oct · Super League 2
0-2
W
18 Oct · Super League 2
1-1
D
11 Oct · Super League 2
0-1
W
03 Oct · Super League 2
2-2
D
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.