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Oberliga - Bremen

Schwachhausen vs Brinkumer SV

Sun 08 Nov 14:00 0 minutes final 0–2 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 90.5%
book 1.18x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (82.1%, n=28)
• type ledger 75% (n=2256)
• short price 1.18x
league track
proven · 82.1% of 28 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 64.4%)
draws 16.7% of matches
team history 13/14 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.0% hit (n=2256, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.7% (n=57)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
90.5%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins solid (90.5%)
@ 08 Nov 10:40 · 1.18x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
15.7%
Draw
9.5%
Away win
74.8%
calibrated 08 Nov 10:40
scoring fit λ 1.25 / μ 2.96
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 241 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
top Away win
74.8%
1.34x 64.7% n=241 solid won
Draw
9.5%
10.53x 64.7% n=241 risky lost
Home win
15.7%
6.38x 64.7% n=241 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Schwachhausen 0W / 0D / 1L · momentum Schwachhaus… 0.83 ppg vs Brinkumer SV 2.5 ppg
Schwachhausen · last 6
08 Nov · Oberliga - Bremen 0-2 L
30 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen 5-0 L
25 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen 1-3 L
17 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen 3-3 D
11 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen 3-0 W
27 Sep · Oberliga - Bremen 1-1 D
Brinkumer SV · last 6
08 Nov · Oberliga - Bremen 0-2 W
01 Nov · Oberliga - Bremen 4-0 L
23 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen 3-0 W
17 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen 3-4 W
10 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen 4-0 W
27 Sep · Oberliga - Bremen 1-7 W
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Oberliga - Bremen Schwachhausen 0-2 Brinkumer SV
Tickets including this match
SURESHOT win chance 83.5% VOID TREBLE win chance 78.3% LOST TREBLE win chance 78.3% VOID TREBLE win chance 79.0% VOID TREBLE win chance 79.0% VOID TREBLE win chance 79.0% VOID