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Olympia Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia II

Sun 08 Nov 16:00 0 minutes
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 88.9%
why
• league PROVEN (72.7%, n=33)
• type ledger 75% (n=2258)
league track
proven · 72.7% of 33 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 55.8%)
draws 21.7% of matches
team history 12/14 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2258, 90d ledger)
measured band: 79.9% (n=303)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
88.9%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins solid (88.9%)
@ 08 Nov 17:26
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
81.2%
Draw
11.1%
Away win
7.8%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:26
scoring fit λ 2.96 / μ 0.81
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 274 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
7.8%
12.87x 55.1% n=274 risky
Draw
11.1%
9.02x 55.1% n=274 risky
top Home win
81.1%
1.23x 55.1% n=274 solid
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Olympia Yer… 1.83 ppg vs Ararat-Arme… 1.17 ppg
Olympia Yerevan · last 6
03 Nov · First League 2-2 D
01 Nov · First League 1-4 W
29 Oct · Cup 1-4 L
20 Oct · First League 1-1 D
13 Oct · First League 4-1 W
15 Sep · First League 3-0 W
Ararat-Armenia II · last 6
03 Nov · First League 2-3 W
19 Oct · First League 3-3 D
13 Oct · First League 3-1 L
08 Oct · First League 1-4 L
22 Sep · First League 0-1 W
14 Sep · First League 3-5 L
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.
Tickets including this match
TREBLE win chance 77.5% OPEN TREBLE win chance 77.5% VOID TREBLE win chance 77.3% VOID TREBLE win chance 77.3% VOID TREBLE win chance 77.3% VOID TREBLE win chance 77.0% VOID