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Liga MX Femenil
Atlante Women vs Tigres UANL Women
Thu 05 Nov 23:45 0 minutes final 0–4 · 1 won · 1 lostTi
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 90.0%
book 1.13x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (80.5%, n=41)
• type ledger 75% (n=2264)
• short price 1.13x
league track
proven · 80.5% of 41 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 66.0%)
draws 16.7% of matches
team history 14/14 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2264, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.7% (n=57)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.0% hit (n=2522)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
90.0%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Under 3.5 goals
lean (59.5%)
@ 05 Nov 17:17 · 1.73x
board also had Either team wins 90.0%
pick lost
Either team wins
solid (90.0%)
@ 05 Nov 17:17 · 1.13x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
2.8%
Draw
10.0%
Away win
87.2%
calibrated 05 Nov 17:17
scoring fit λ 0.29 / μ 2.63
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 298 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
87.3%
|
1.15x | 69.5% n=298 | solid | won |
| Draw |
10.0%
|
10.02x | 69.5% n=298 | risky | lost |
| Home win |
2.8%
|
36.19x | 69.5% n=298 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Atlante Women 0W / 0D / 1L
· momentum Atlante Wom… 0.17 ppg vs Tigres UANL… 2.33 ppg
Atlante Women · last 6
05 Nov · Liga MX Femenil
0-4
L
01 Nov · Liga MX Femenil
6-0
L
26 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
0-1
L
20 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
2-0
L
04 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
1-0
L
28 Sep · Liga MX Femenil
0-0
D
Tigres UANL Women · last 6
05 Nov · Liga MX Femenil
0-4
W
31 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
0-7
W
26 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
2-2
D
19 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
2-0
W
03 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
1-3
W
28 Sep · Liga MX Femenil
1-1
D
Head-to-head last 5
05 Nov 26 · Liga MX Femenil
Atlante Women 0-4 Tigres UANL Wom…