NetScore Engine v2

Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED

RECOMMENDED

Home or Draw · 80.6%

book 1.27x · short <1.30x

why

• league OK (70.8%, n=24)

• type ledger 80% (n=1995)

• short price 1.27x

league track

ok · 70.8% of 24 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 50.8%)

draws 38.3% of matches

team history 19/19 games (180d)

bet type · time of day

DC-1X: 79.8% hit (n=1995, 90d ledger)

measured band: 81.5% (n=427)

evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2539)

What we suggest

All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.

Recommended

80.6%

Home or Draw

engine's strongest option for this match

MED risk

Value

No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.

PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade

Pick validation — what the engine actually published

This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.

Home or Draw solid (80.6%)

@ 10 Nov 23:53 · 1.27x

Home, draw refunds solid (74.1%)

@ 10 Nov 23:53 · 1.40x

board also had Under 4.5 goals 84.0%

1X2 — engine vs market

Home win

55.6%

Draw

24.9%

Away win

19.4%

calibrated 10 Nov 23:53

scoring fit λ 1.82 / μ 0.99

model–market gap 0.0%

Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID

backtested 28 Oct · 187 matches of this league

fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.

1X2

pick	chance	fair	backtest	verdict
Away win	19.4%	5.14x	50.8% n=187	risky
Draw	24.9%	4.02x	50.8% n=187	risky
top Home win	55.6%	1.8x	50.8% n=187	lean

Form & head-to-head

H2H record: 1 meetings — Atletico Balb… 0W / 0D / 1L · momentum Atletico Ba… 1.67 ppg vs Inca Aruba 0.33 ppg

Atletico Balboa · last 6

09 Nov · Primera Division 3-4 W

01 Nov · Primera Division 1-0 W

24 Oct · Primera Division 1-2 W

18 Oct · Primera Division 2-2 D

11 Oct · Primera Division 0-1 L

04 Oct · Primera Division 3-2 L

Inca Aruba · last 6

07 Nov · Primera Division 1-1 D

31 Oct · Primera Division 1-0 L

24 Oct · Primera Division 0-2 L

18 Oct · Primera Division 2-0 L

10 Oct · Primera Division 1-4 L

05 Oct · Primera Division 1-1 D

Head-to-head last 5

09 Sep 26 · Primera Division Inca Aruba 1-0 Atletico Balboa

Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba