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CONCACAF Nations League

Puerto Rico vs Dominica

Tomorrow 23:00 1 day, 10 hours
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 5.5 goals · 94.5%
why
• type ledger 91% (n=47)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new league — not enough graded picks to rate
draws 11.7% of matches
team history 5/4 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U5.5: 91.5% hit (n=47, 90d ledger)
measured band: 96.7% (n=30)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
94.5%
Under 5.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
89.6%
Draw
8.5%
Away win
2.0%
calibrated 10 Nov 09:55
scoring fit λ 2.53 / μ 0.15
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 06 Nov · None matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
2.0%
51.08x – risky
Draw
8.5%
11.8x – risky
top Home win
89.6%
1.12x – solid
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Puerto Rico 1W / 0D / 0L · momentum Puerto Rico 1.5 ppg vs Dominica 0.83 ppg
Puerto Rico · last 6
05 Oct · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 1-0 W
02 Oct · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 0-3 W
28 Sep · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 0-2 W
24 Sep · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 0-1 L
06 Jun · Friendlies 0-3 L
29 Mar · FIFA Series 2-0 L
Dominica · last 6
04 Oct · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 8-1 L
28 Sep · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 0-2 L
25 Sep · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 0-0 D
21 Sep · Friendlies 1-0 W
31 Mar · CONCACAF Series 0-0 D
27 Mar · CONCACAF Series 2-0 L
Head-to-head last 5
28 Sep 26 · CONCACAF Nations Leag… Dominica 0-2 Puerto Rico