NetScore Engine v2

Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK

RISK

Under 6.5 goals · 93.8%

why

• league OK (64.3%, n=14)

• type ledger 100% (n=28)

• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)

league track

ok · 64.3% of 14 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 38.8%)

draws 23.3% of matches

team history 9/20 games (180d)

bet type · time of day

OU-U6.5: 100.0% hit (n=28, 90d ledger)

measured band: 93.6% (n=1945)

evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2519)

What we suggest

All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.

Strongest leg · risky

93.8%

Under 6.5 goals

top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.

HIGH risk

Value

No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.

PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade

1X2 — engine vs market

Home win

2.3%

Draw

9.9%

Away win

87.8%

calibrated 08 Nov 17:27

scoring fit λ 0.43 / μ 3.03

model–market gap 0.0%

Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID

backtested 01 Nov · 150 matches of this league

fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.

1X2

pick	chance	fair	backtest	verdict	result
top Away win	87.8%	1.14x	55.3% n=150	solid	lost
Draw	9.9%	10.12x	55.3% n=150	risky	won
Home win	2.3%	42.65x	55.3% n=150	risky	lost

Form & head-to-head

H2H record: 1 meetings — Sporting Esca… 0W / 1D / 0L · momentum Sporting Es… 0.83 ppg vs Inter Club … 1.0 ppg

Sporting Escaldes · last 6

08 Nov · 1a Divisió 1-1 D

31 Oct · 1a Divisió 5-1 L

25 Oct · 1a Divisió 1-1 D

18 Oct · 1a Divisió 0-1 W

11 Oct · 1a Divisió 2-0 L

20 Sep · 1a Divisió 1-5 L

Inter Club d'Escaldes · last 6

08 Nov · 1a Divisió 1-1 D

05 Nov · UEFA Europa Conferenc… 2-1 L

01 Nov · 1a Divisió 0-0 D

24 Oct · 1a Divisió 1-1 D

22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conferenc… 1-3 L

18 Oct · 1a Divisió 4-2 W

Head-to-head last 5

08 Nov 26 · 1a Divisió Sporting Escald… 1-1 Inter Club d'Es…

Sporting Escaldes vs Inter Club d'Escaldes