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UEFA Champions League Women
SL Benfica vs Austria Wien Women
Tomorrow 22:00 1 day, 14 hoursAu
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 76.8%
why
• league OK (55.6%, n=18)
• type ledger 75% (n=2265)
league track
ok · 55.6% of 18 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 33.7%)
draws 21.7% of matches
team history 8/20 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2265, 90d ledger)
measured band: 74.9% (n=941)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
76.8%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Safer
66.7%
Home or Draw
safest leg we would still back — lower variance, smaller payout.
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (76.8%)
@ 10 Nov 06:09
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
43.4%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
33.3%
calibrated 10 Nov 06:09
scoring fit λ 1.57 / μ 1.34
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 121 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
33.3%
|
3.0x | 52.1% n=121 | risky |
| Draw |
23.2%
|
4.3x | 52.1% n=121 | risky |
| top Home win |
43.4%
|
2.3x | 52.1% n=121 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
· momentum SL Benfica 2.0 ppg vs Austria Wie… 2.17 ppg
SL Benfica · last 6
02 Nov · Campeonato Nacional F…
0-1
W
28 Oct · UEFA Champions League…
3-0
L
24 Oct · Campeonato Nacional F…
4-1
W
18 Oct · Campeonato Nacional F…
0-4
W
30 Sep · UEFA Champions League…
0-3
L
22 Sep · UEFA Champions League…
1-2
W
Austria Wien Women · last 6
01 Nov · Frauenliga
0-3
W
29 Oct · UEFA Champions League…
1-4
L
24 Oct · Frauenliga
1-1
D
18 Oct · Frauenliga
0-3
W
04 Oct · Frauenliga
6-0
W
01 Oct · UEFA Champions League…
1-0
W
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.