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Damallsvenskan
Djurgården vs Häcken
Fri 06 Nov 19:00 0 minutes final 1–1 · 0 won · 1 lostHä
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 87.8%
book 1.22x · short <1.30x
why
• league OK (66.7%, n=27)
• type ledger 75% (n=2264)
• short price 1.22x
league track
ok · 66.7% of 27 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 47.8%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 21/26 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2264, 90d ledger)
measured band: 80.0% (n=305)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.0% hit (n=2522)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
87.8%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (87.8%)
@ 06 Nov 18:03 · 1.22x
pick lost
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
10.1%
Draw
12.2%
Away win
77.7%
calibrated 06 Nov 18:03
scoring fit λ 0.74 / μ 2.54
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 09 Nov · 308 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
77.7%
|
1.29x | 58.4% n=308 | solid | lost |
| Draw |
12.1%
|
8.23x | 58.4% n=308 | risky | won |
| Home win |
10.1%
|
9.9x | 58.4% n=308 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 11 meetings — Djurgården 2W / 2D / 7L
· momentum Djurgården 2.17 ppg vs Häcken 2.33 ppg
Djurgården · last 6
06 Nov · Damallsvenskan
1-1
D
31 Oct · Damallsvenskan
2-0
W
24 Oct · Damallsvenskan
3-0
L
18 Oct · Damallsvenskan
3-2
W
04 Oct · Damallsvenskan
2-1
W
30 Sep · Svenska Cupen - Women
1-4
W
Häcken · last 6
06 Nov · Damallsvenskan
1-1
D
02 Nov · Damallsvenskan
4-1
W
29 Oct · UEFA Champions League…
1-1
D
23 Oct · Damallsvenskan
1-2
W
18 Oct · Damallsvenskan
3-0
W
04 Oct · Damallsvenskan
9-0
W
Head-to-head last 5
06 Nov 26 · Damallsvenskan
Djurgården 1-1 Häcken
06 May 26 · Damallsvenskan
Häcken 3-0 Djurgården
08 Nov 25 · Damallsvenskan
Djurgården 0-2 Häcken
09 Aug 25 · Damallsvenskan
Häcken 4-1 Djurgården
15 Mar 25 · Svenska Cupen - Women
Häcken 4-2 Djurgården