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Vysshaya Liga Women
Rostov FC vs Krylya Sovetov Women
Sat 07 Nov 13:00 0 minutes final 0–3 · 1 won · 0 lostKr
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 87.5%
book 1.21x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (78.9%, n=19)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
• short price 1.21x
league track
proven · 78.9% of 19 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 56.7%)
draws 18.3% of matches
team history 16/16 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 85.1% (n=87)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
87.5%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away
solid (87.5%)
@ 07 Nov 11:03 · 1.21x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
12.5%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
60.5%
calibrated 07 Nov 11:03
scoring fit λ 0.76 / μ 1.83
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 148 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
60.5%
|
1.65x | 67.6% n=148 | lean | won |
| Draw |
27.1%
|
3.7x | 67.6% n=148 | risky | lost |
| Home win |
12.5%
|
8.02x | 67.6% n=148 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 9 meetings — Rostov FC 4W / 1D / 4L
· momentum Rostov FC 0.5 ppg vs Krylya Sove… 0.83 ppg
Rostov FC · last 6
07 Nov · Vysshaya Liga Women
0-3
L
31 Oct · Vysshaya Liga Women
4-0
L
24 Oct · Vysshaya Liga Women
1-1
D
03 Oct · Vysshaya Liga Women
0-0
D
20 Sep · Vysshaya Liga Women
1-1
D
12 Sep · Vysshaya Liga Women
4-0
L
Krylya Sovetov Women · last 6
07 Nov · Vysshaya Liga Women
0-3
W
31 Oct · Vysshaya Liga Women
0-2
L
24 Oct · Vysshaya Liga Women
0-1
L
18 Oct · Vysshaya Liga Women
1-0
L
03 Oct · Vysshaya Liga Women
1-1
D
19 Sep · Vysshaya Liga Women
0-0
D
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Vysshaya Liga Women
Rostov FC 0-3 Krylya Sovetov …
27 Jun 26 · Vysshaya Liga Women
Krylya Sovetov … 4-0 Rostov FC
19 Oct 25 · Vysshaya Liga Women
Krylya Sovetov … 1-0 Rostov FC
17 May 25 · Vysshaya Liga Women
Rostov FC 1-1 Krylya Sovetov …
09 Aug 24 · Vysshaya Liga Women
Rostov FC 2-0 Krylya Sovetov …
Tickets including this match