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Nationalliga A Women
Rapperswil-Jona vs Grasshopper Women
Fri 13 Nov 20:00 1 day, 19 hoursGr
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 82.6%
why
• league PROVEN (83.3%, n=18)
• type ledger 79% (n=2310)
league track
proven · 83.3% of 18 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 60.8%)
draws 20.0% of matches
team history 12/12 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 78.5% hit (n=2310, 90d ledger)
measured band: 80.4% (n=703)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.5% hit (n=2555)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
82.6%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (82.6%)
@ 11 Nov 23:58
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
30.2%
Draw
17.4%
Away win
52.4%
calibrated 11 Nov 23:58
scoring fit λ 1.50 / μ 2.06
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 125 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
52.4%
|
1.91x | 59.2% n=125 | risky |
| Draw |
17.4%
|
5.75x | 59.2% n=125 | risky |
| Home win |
30.2%
|
3.31x | 59.2% n=125 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 3 meetings — Rapperswil-Jo… 0W / 0D / 3L
· momentum Rapperswil-… 1.83 ppg vs Grasshopper… 2.17 ppg
Rapperswil-Jona · last 6
07 Nov · Nationalliga A Women
4-0
W
01 Nov · Nationalliga A Women
3-3
D
18 Oct · Nationalliga A Women
1-2
W
03 Oct · Nationalliga A Women
5-2
W
19 Sep · Nationalliga A Women
2-2
D
12 Sep · Nationalliga A Women
1-2
L
Grasshopper Women · last 6
08 Nov · Nationalliga A Women
5-1
W
31 Oct · Nationalliga A Women
3-2
W
17 Oct · Nationalliga A Women
3-2
L
02 Oct · Nationalliga A Women
4-1
W
19 Sep · Nationalliga A Women
1-4
W
13 Sep · Nationalliga A Women
0-0
D
Head-to-head last 5
16 Aug 26 · Nationalliga A Women
Grasshopper Wom… 6-0 Rapperswil-Jona
15 Nov 25 · Nationalliga A Women
Rapperswil-Jona 1-3 Grasshopper Wom…
23 Aug 25 · Nationalliga A Women
Grasshopper Wom… 2-0 Rapperswil-Jona