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Botola 2

Olympique Dcheïra vs Yacoub El Mansour

Sun 08 Nov 16:00 0 minutes final 1–0 · settled
Ya
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 5.5 goals · 94.4%
why
• league PROVEN (82.6%, n=23)
• type ledger 91% (n=47)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
proven · 82.6% of 23 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 62.9%)
draws 28.3% of matches
team history 19/19 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U5.5: 91.5% hit (n=47, 90d ledger)
measured band: 96.7% (n=30)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
94.4%
Under 5.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
35.9%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
36.7%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:27
scoring fit λ 1.34 / μ 1.35
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 01 Nov · 314 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
top Away win
36.7%
2.72x 41.1% n=314 risky lost
Draw
27.3%
3.66x 41.1% n=314 risky lost
Home win
35.9%
2.78x 41.1% n=314 risky won
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 5 meetings — Olympique Dch… 4W / 1D / 0L · momentum Olympique D… 2.17 ppg vs Yacoub El M… 1.83 ppg
Olympique Dcheïra · last 6
08 Nov · Botola 2 1-0 W
01 Nov · Botola 2 2-3 W
25 Oct · Botola 2 0-0 D
18 Oct · Botola 2 1-4 W
11 Oct · Botola 2 2-0 W
03 Oct · Botola 2 2-1 L
Yacoub El Mansour · last 6
08 Nov · Botola 2 1-0 L
01 Nov · Botola 2 2-1 W
25 Oct · Botola 2 2-2 D
17 Oct · Botola 2 1-1 D
11 Oct · Botola 2 1-0 W
04 Oct · Botola 2 0-1 W
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Botola 2 Olympique Dcheï… 1-0 Yacoub El Manso…
08 May 26 · Botola Pro Olympique Dcheï… 1-1 Yacoub El Manso…
05 Oct 25 · Botola Pro Yacoub El Manso… 0-1 Olympique Dcheï…
27 Apr 25 · Botola 2 Yacoub El Manso… 2-3 Olympique Dcheï…
22 Dec 24 · Botola 2 Olympique Dcheï… 1-0 Yacoub El Manso…