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Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Quick Boys
Sat 07 Nov 16:00 0 minutes final 1–1 · settled
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 85.8%
why
• league OK (80.0%, n=10)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
league track
ok · 80.0% of 10 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 49.0%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 16/17 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 85.1% (n=87)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
85.8%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
14.2%
Draw
19.5%
Away win
66.3%
calibrated 07 Nov 10:58
scoring fit λ 1.09 / μ 2.45
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 321 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
66.3%
|
1.51x | 48.3% n=321 | lean | lost |
| Draw |
19.5%
|
5.13x | 48.3% n=321 | risky | won |
| Home win |
14.2%
|
7.02x | 48.3% n=321 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 3 meetings — Barendrecht 1W / 1D / 1L
· momentum Barendrecht 1.83 ppg vs Quick Boys 2.33 ppg
Barendrecht · last 6
07 Nov · Tweede Divisie
1-1
D
27 Oct · KNVB Beker
2-2
D
24 Oct · Tweede Divisie
0-1
W
17 Oct · Tweede Divisie
4-1
W
10 Oct · Tweede Divisie
4-0
L
03 Oct · Tweede Divisie
3-2
W
Quick Boys · last 6
07 Nov · Tweede Divisie
1-1
D
28 Oct · KNVB Beker
4-0
W
24 Oct · Tweede Divisie
3-1
W
17 Oct · Tweede Divisie
1-1
D
10 Oct · Tweede Divisie
6-0
W
03 Oct · Tweede Divisie
2-3
W
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht 1-1 Quick Boys
24 Jan 26 · Tweede Divisie
Quick Boys 1-3 Barendrecht
30 Aug 25 · Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht 0-6 Quick Boys
Tickets including this match