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UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

Turkey U17 vs San Marino U17

Wed 11 Nov 14:00 2 days, 9 hours
Sa
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 95.9%
why
• league OK (62.5%, n=8)
• type ledger 75% (n=2256)
league track
ok · 62.5% of 8 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 30.6%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 2/0 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.0% hit (n=2256, 90d ledger)
measured band: 75.4% (n=2630)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
95.9%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins solid (95.9%)
@ 09 Nov 02:53
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
93.9%
Draw
4.1%
Away win
2.0%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:53
scoring fit λ 3.39 / μ 0.28
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 146 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
2.0%
50.98x 57.5% n=146 risky
Draw
4.1%
24.24x 57.5% n=146 risky
top Home win
93.9%
1.06x 57.5% n=146 solid
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Turkey U17 2.17 ppg vs San Marino … 0.5 ppg
Turkey U17 · last 6
02 Oct · Friendlies 6-3 W
29 Sep · Friendlies 0-2 W
21 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 0-0 D
18 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 4-0 W
15 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 2-0 L
22 Jan · Friendlies 2-1 W
San Marino U17 · last 6
16 Apr · UEFA U17 Championship… 3-1 L
13 Apr · UEFA U17 Championship… 0-1 W
10 Apr · UEFA U17 Championship… 1-4 L
03 Nov · UEFA U17 Championship… 0-5 L
31 Oct · UEFA U17 Championship… 2-0 L
28 Oct · UEFA U17 Championship… 2-0 L
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.
Tickets including this match
SURESHOT win chance 98.0% OPEN SURESHOT win chance 98.0% VOID SURESHOT win chance 98.0% VOID SURESHOT win chance 98.0% VOID SURESHOT win chance 98.0% VOID