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UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

Lithuania U17 vs Northern Ireland U17

Tomorrow 16:30 1 day, 9 hours
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 83.1%
why
• league OK (62.5%, n=8)
• type ledger 75% (n=2265)
league track
ok · 62.5% of 8 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 30.6%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 1/0 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2265, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.6% (n=679)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
83.1%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins solid (83.1%)
@ 10 Nov 06:05
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
43.6%
Draw
16.9%
Away win
39.5%
calibrated 10 Nov 06:05
scoring fit λ 1.49 / μ 1.40
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 146 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
39.5%
2.53x 57.5% n=146 risky
Draw
16.9%
5.92x 57.5% n=146 risky
top Home win
43.6%
2.29x 57.5% n=146 risky
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Lithuania U… 1.67 ppg vs Northern Ir… 0.83 ppg
Lithuania U17 · last 6
02 Jul · Friendlies 1-4 W
30 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 0-3 L
27 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 0-0 D
24 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 1-3 W
03 Nov · UEFA U17 Championship… 4-1 L
31 Oct · UEFA U17 Championship… 0-1 W
Northern Ireland U17 · last 6
21 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 1-2 L
18 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 4-0 L
15 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 2-0 L
21 Feb · Friendlies 1-1 D
18 Feb · Friendlies 2-1 W
03 Nov · UEFA U17 Championship… 1-1 D
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.