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UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

Austria U17 vs Georgia U17

Wed 11 Nov 16:00 2 days, 12 hours
Ge
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 87.2%
why
• league OK (62.5%, n=8)
• type ledger 80% (n=1979)
league track
ok · 62.5% of 8 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 30.6%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 1/1 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1979, 90d ledger)
measured band: 84.9% (n=292)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
87.2%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw solid (87.2%)
@ 09 Nov 02:53
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
72.3%
Draw
14.9%
Away win
12.8%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:53
scoring fit λ 2.58 / μ 0.99
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 146 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
12.8%
7.81x 57.5% n=146 risky
Draw
14.9%
6.71x 57.5% n=146 risky
top Home win
72.3%
1.38x 57.5% n=146 solid
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Austria U17 1.5 ppg vs Georgia U17 1.83 ppg
Austria U17 · last 6
20 May · Friendlies 3-3 D
31 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 6-2 L
28 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 1-1 D
25 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 0-0 D
15 Nov · World Cup - U17 2-0 W
08 Nov · World Cup - U17 0-3 W
Georgia U17 · last 6
30 Sep · Friendlies 3-1 L
16 Apr · UEFA U17 Championship… 2-2 D
13 Apr · UEFA U17 Championship… 1-0 W
10 Apr · UEFA U17 Championship… 1-4 W
26 Feb · Friendlies 2-1 W
24 Feb · Friendlies 0-0 D
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.
Tickets including this match
VALUE win chance 77.8% OPEN VALUE win chance 74.2% VOID VALUE win chance 74.2% VOID VALUE win chance 74.2% VOID VALUE win chance 74.2% VOID