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UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

Sweden U17 vs Albania U17

Wed 11 Nov 15:00 2 days, 10 hours
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 89.6%
why
• league OK (62.5%, n=8)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
league track
ok · 62.5% of 8 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 30.6%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 0/4 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 84.9% (n=292)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
89.6%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw solid (89.6%)
@ 09 Nov 02:53
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
74.6%
Draw
15.0%
Away win
10.4%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:53
scoring fit λ 2.73 / μ 0.95
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 146 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
10.4%
9.63x 57.5% n=146 risky
Draw
15.0%
6.68x 57.5% n=146 risky
top Home win
74.6%
1.34x 57.5% n=146 solid
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Sweden U17 1.33 ppg vs Albania U17 0.67 ppg
Sweden U17 · last 6
31 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 0-5 W
28 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 2-3 L
25 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 2-2 D
23 Feb · Friendlies 1-1 D
20 Feb · Friendlies 0-2 W
18 Feb · Friendlies 2-1 L
Albania U17 · last 6
09 Jun · UEFA U17 Championship… 0-4 L
08 Jun · Friendlies 5-0 W
05 Jun · Friendlies 1-4 L
03 Jun · UEFA U17 Championship… 2-2 D
17 Nov · UEFA U17 Championship… 2-1 L
14 Nov · UEFA U17 Championship… 3-0 L
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.
Tickets including this match
VALUE win chance 81.5% OPEN VALUE win chance 81.5% VOID VALUE win chance 81.5% VOID VALUE win chance 81.5% VOID VALUE win chance 81.5% VOID