Re
HOME
UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

Republic of Ireland U17 vs Estonia U17

Wed 11 Nov 13:00 2 days, 9 hours
AWAY
back to predictions
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 93.3%
why
• league OK (62.5%, n=8)
• type ledger 75% (n=2256)
league track
ok · 62.5% of 8 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 30.6%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 3/4 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.0% hit (n=2256, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.7% (n=57)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
93.3%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins solid (93.3%)
@ 09 Nov 02:53
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
91.3%
Draw
6.7%
Away win
2.0%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:53
scoring fit λ 2.86 / μ 0.20
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 146 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
2.0%
51.01x 57.5% n=146 risky
Draw
6.7%
14.93x 57.5% n=146 risky
top Home win
91.3%
1.09x 57.5% n=146 solid
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Republic of… 1.5 ppg vs Estonia U17 0.0 ppg
Republic of Ireland U17 · last 6
30 Sep · Friendlies 3-2 W
27 Sep · Friendlies 2-1 L
23 Sep · Friendlies 4-0 L
31 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 0-7 W
28 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 0-2 L
25 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 3-0 W
Estonia U17 · last 6
02 Jul · Friendlies 1-4 L
31 May · UEFA U17 Championship… 1-0 L
28 May · UEFA U17 Championship… 1-3 L
25 May · UEFA U17 Championship… 1-4 L
31 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 0-2 L
28 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 2-1 L
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.