HOME
UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

Latvia U17 vs Croatia U17

Tomorrow 12:00 1 day, 5 hours
Cr
AWAY
back to predictions
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 83.7%
why
• league OK (62.5%, n=8)
• type ledger 75% (n=2265)
league track
ok · 62.5% of 8 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 30.6%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 3/3 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2265, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.6% (n=679)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
83.7%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Safer
65.5%
Draw or Away
safest leg we would still back — lower variance, smaller payout.
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins solid (83.7%)
@ 10 Nov 06:05
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
34.5%
Draw
16.3%
Away win
49.2%
calibrated 10 Nov 06:05
scoring fit λ 1.95 / μ 2.35
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 146 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
49.2%
2.03x 57.5% n=146 risky
Draw
16.3%
6.14x 57.5% n=146 risky
Home win
34.5%
2.9x 57.5% n=146 risky
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Latvia U17 1.17 ppg vs Croatia U17 2.17 ppg
Latvia U17 · last 6
02 Jul · Friendlies 5-1 L
06 Jun · UEFA U17 Championship… 2-3 W
03 Jun · UEFA U17 Championship… 2-2 D
14 Oct · UEFA U17 Championship… 1-5 W
11 Oct · UEFA U17 Championship… 5-0 L
08 Oct · UEFA U17 Championship… 2-3 L
Croatia U17 · last 6
31 May · UEFA U17 Championship… 2-3 W
28 May · UEFA U17 Championship… 1-3 W
25 May · UEFA U17 Championship… 0-2 L
31 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 1-1 D
28 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 0-2 W
25 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 5-2 W
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.