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UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Ukraine U17 vs Poland U17
Tomorrow 21:00 1 day, 14 hours
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 83.2%
why
• league OK (62.5%, n=8)
• type ledger 75% (n=2265)
league track
ok · 62.5% of 8 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 30.6%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 3/3 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2265, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.6% (n=679)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
83.2%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (83.2%)
@ 10 Nov 06:05
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
41.2%
Draw
16.8%
Away win
42.0%
calibrated 10 Nov 06:05
scoring fit λ 1.65 / μ 1.67
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 146 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
42.0%
|
2.38x | 57.5% n=146 | risky |
| Draw |
16.8%
|
5.95x | 57.5% n=146 | risky |
| Home win |
41.2%
|
2.43x | 57.5% n=146 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
· momentum Ukraine U17 0.67 ppg vs Poland U17 2.17 ppg
Ukraine U17 · last 6
29 Sep · Friendlies
0-2
L
09 Jun · UEFA U17 Championship…
0-4
W
06 Jun · UEFA U17 Championship…
2-3
L
23 Apr · Friendlies
3-1
L
21 Apr · Friendlies
4-0
L
16 Feb · Friendlies
0-0
D
Poland U17 · last 6
30 Sep · Friendlies
3-1
W
27 Sep · Friendlies
2-1
W
25 Sep · Friendlies
4-1
W
31 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship…
1-1
D
28 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship…
0-4
W
25 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship…
3-0
L
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.