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League Two
Jiangxi Liansheng vs Xi'an Ronghai
Sun 08 Nov 08:30 0 minutes final 0–0 · 1 won · 0 lostXi
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 88.5%
book 1.41x · even 1.30-1.55x
why
• league PROVEN (74.4%, n=39)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
• priced 1.41x - band hits ~65% (60d)
league track
proven · 74.4% of 39 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 58.9%)
draws 60.0% of matches
team history 24/25 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 85.1% (n=87)
morning 06-12 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=383)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
88.5%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away
solid (88.5%)
@ 08 Nov 03:36 · 1.41x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
11.5%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
63.5%
calibrated 08 Nov 03:36
scoring fit λ 0.54 / μ 1.63
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 541 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
63.5%
|
1.57x | 44.7% n=541 | lean | lost |
| Draw |
25.0%
|
4.0x | 44.7% n=541 | risky | won |
| Home win |
11.5%
|
8.71x | 44.7% n=541 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 2 meetings — Jiangxi Lians… 0W / 1D / 1L
· momentum Jiangxi Lia… 0.5 ppg vs Xi'an Rongh… 1.83 ppg
Jiangxi Liansheng · last 6
08 Nov · League Two
0-0
D
01 Nov · League Two
0-0
D
24 Oct · League Two
2-1
L
17 Oct · League Two
0-0
D
12 Oct · League Two
2-1
L
07 Oct · League Two
0-1
L
Xi'an Ronghai · last 6
08 Nov · League Two
0-0
D
01 Nov · League Two
1-0
W
24 Oct · League Two
1-0
L
17 Oct · League Two
1-0
W
12 Oct · League Two
2-1
W
06 Oct · League Two
0-0
D
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · League Two
Jiangxi Lianshe… 0-0 Xi'an Ronghai
12 Oct 26 · League Two
Xi'an Ronghai 2-1 Jiangxi Lianshe…
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