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Langfang Glory City vs Dalian Kewei

Sun 08 Nov 08:30 0 minutes final 0–2 · 1 won · 0 lost
Da
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 89.5%
book 1.24x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (74.4%, n=39)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
• short price 1.24x
league track
proven · 74.4% of 39 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 58.9%)
draws 60.0% of matches
team history 24/25 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 85.1% (n=87)
morning 06-12 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=383)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
89.5%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away solid (89.5%)
@ 08 Nov 03:36 · 1.24x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
10.5%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
65.6%
calibrated 08 Nov 03:36
scoring fit λ 0.53 / μ 1.71
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 541 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
top Away win
65.6%
1.52x 44.7% n=541 lean won
Draw
23.9%
4.19x 44.7% n=541 risky lost
Home win
10.5%
9.53x 44.7% n=541 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 2 meetings — Langfang Glor… 0W / 1D / 1L · momentum Langfang Gl… 1.0 ppg vs Dalian Kewei 2.0 ppg
Langfang Glory City · last 6
08 Nov · League Two 0-2 L
01 Nov · League Two 1-0 L
24 Oct · League Two 2-3 W
17 Oct · League Two 0-0 D
12 Oct · League Two 2-2 D
06 Oct · League Two 0-0 D
Dalian Kewei · last 6
08 Nov · League Two 0-2 W
01 Nov · League Two 0-0 D
25 Oct · League Two 1-1 D
17 Oct · League Two 2-1 W
12 Oct · League Two 2-2 D
07 Oct · League Two 0-1 W
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · League Two Langfang Glory … 0-2 Dalian Kewei
12 Oct 26 · League Two Dalian Kewei 2-2 Langfang Glory …