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Division 2

Al-Ain FC vs Al Taraji

Fri 13 Nov 14:35 1 day, 13 hours
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 79.3%
why
• league PROVEN (72.3%, n=65)
• type ledger 79% (n=2000)
league track
proven · 72.3% of 65 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 60.4%)
draws 30.0% of matches
team history 4/5 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.0% hit (n=2000, 90d ledger)
measured band: 77.5% (n=583)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 76.6% hit (n=3052)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
79.3%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw solid (79.3%)
@ 11 Nov 23:59
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
54.5%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
20.7%
calibrated 11 Nov 23:59
scoring fit λ 2.22 / μ 1.37
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 09 Nov · 207 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
20.7%
4.84x 44.0% n=207 risky
Draw
24.8%
4.02x 44.0% n=207 risky
top Home win
54.5%
1.84x 44.0% n=207 risky
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Al-Ain FC 0W / 1D / 0L · momentum Al-Ain FC 2.17 ppg vs Al Taraji 1.33 ppg
Al-Ain FC · last 6
07 Nov · Division 2 0-2 W
02 Nov · Division 2 3-1 W
28 Oct · Division 2 0-1 W
23 Oct · Division 2 0-3 W
22 Apr · Division 2 0-0 D
16 Apr · Division 2 1-3 L
Al Taraji · last 6
07 Nov · Division 2 3-0 L
02 Nov · Division 2 1-1 D
28 Oct · Division 2 3-4 W
23 Oct · Division 2 2-2 D
16 Oct · Division 2 1-3 L
10 Apr · Division 2 2-3 W
Head-to-head last 5
04 Apr 26 · Division 2 Al Taraji 4-4 Al-Ain FC