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Pro League A
Pakhtakor Ii vs Kattaqurgon
Sat 07 Nov 16:00 0 minutes final 0–2 · settledKa
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 93.5%
why
• league OK (66.7%, n=30)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
league track
ok · 66.7% of 30 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 48.8%)
draws 18.3% of matches
team history 20/18 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 94.1% (n=34)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3034)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
93.5%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
6.5%
Draw
18.4%
Away win
75.1%
calibrated 07 Nov 17:56
scoring fit λ 0.57 / μ 2.28
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 174 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
75.1%
|
1.33x | 59.2% n=174 | solid | won |
| Draw |
18.4%
|
5.43x | 59.2% n=174 | risky | lost |
| Home win |
6.5%
|
15.48x | 59.2% n=174 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 2 meetings — Pakhtakor Ii 0W / 0D / 2L
· momentum Pakhtakor Ii 0.5 ppg vs Kattaqurgon 2.17 ppg
Pakhtakor Ii · last 6
07 Nov · Pro League A
0-2
L
03 Nov · Pro League A
3-1
L
25 Oct · Pro League A
0-3
L
20 Oct · Pro League A
0-2
W
13 Oct · Pro League A
1-2
L
08 Oct · Pro League A
3-2
L
Kattaqurgon · last 6
07 Nov · Pro League A
0-2
W
03 Nov · Pro League A
3-0
W
24 Oct · Pro League A
0-1
W
18 Oct · Pro League A
4-4
D
12 Oct · Pro League A
0-3
W
08 Oct · Pro League A
0-3
L
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Pro League A
Pakhtakor Ii 0-2 Kattaqurgon
04 Aug 26 · Pro League A
Kattaqurgon 2-0 Pakhtakor Ii
Tickets including this match