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Damallsvenskan

Piteå vs Malmö FF Women

Sat 07 Nov 14:00 0 minutes final 1–0 · 1 won · 0 lost
Ma
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 78.0%
book 1.31x · even 1.30-1.55x
why
• league OK (66.7%, n=27)
• type ledger 75% (n=2264)
• priced 1.31x - band hits ~65% (60d)
league track
ok · 66.7% of 27 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 47.8%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 21/26 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2264, 90d ledger)
measured band: 74.9% (n=940)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
78.0%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins solid (78.0%)
@ 07 Nov 11:02 · 1.31x
board also had Draw or Away 84.4% pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
15.6%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
62.4%
calibrated 07 Nov 11:02
scoring fit λ 0.91 / μ 2.02
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 09 Nov · 308 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
top Away win
62.4%
1.6x 58.4% n=308 lean lost
Draw
22.0%
4.54x 58.4% n=308 risky lost
Home win
15.6%
6.42x 58.4% n=308 risky won
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 5 meetings — Piteå 3W / 1D / 1L · momentum Piteå 1.67 ppg vs Malmö FF Wo… 2.17 ppg
Piteå · last 6
07 Nov · Damallsvenskan 1-0 W
31 Oct · Damallsvenskan 0-1 L
25 Oct · Damallsvenskan 0-2 W
18 Oct · Damallsvenskan 3-2 L
03 Oct · Damallsvenskan 1-1 D
30 Sep · Svenska Cupen - Women 0-6 W
Malmö FF Women · last 6
07 Nov · Damallsvenskan 1-0 L
02 Nov · Damallsvenskan 1-1 D
28 Oct · UEFA Women’s Champion… 1-2 W
24 Oct · Damallsvenskan 1-2 W
17 Oct · Damallsvenskan 3-2 W
04 Oct · Damallsvenskan 1-0 W
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Damallsvenskan Piteå 1-0 Malmö FF Women
31 Jul 26 · Damallsvenskan Malmö FF Women 0-0 Piteå
15 Feb 26 · Svenska Cupen - Women Malmö FF Women 2-3 Piteå
02 Nov 25 · Damallsvenskan Malmö FF Women 1-2 Piteå
15 Jun 25 · Damallsvenskan Piteå 0-3 Malmö FF Women
Tickets including this match
SURESHOT win chance 75.4% VOID