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U20 Elite League
England U20 vs Czech Republic U20
Today 21:30 16 hours, 18 minutes
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Either team wins · 92.5%
why
• type ledger 78% (n=2311)
• league is untracked (no graded ledger yet)
league track
new league — not enough graded picks to rate
draws 22.4% of matches
team history 3/2 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 78.5% hit (n=2311, 90d ledger)
measured band: 85.5% (n=62)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.5% hit (n=2557)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
92.5%
Either team wins
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
90.3%
Draw
7.5%
Away win
2.2%
calibrated 12 Nov 03:05
scoring fit λ 3.32 / μ 0.44
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
2.2%
|
45.7x | – | risky |
| Draw |
7.5%
|
13.37x | – | risky |
| top Home win |
90.3%
|
1.11x | – | solid |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — England U20 1W / 0D / 0L
· momentum England U20 2.0 ppg vs Czech Repub… 0.5 ppg
England U20 · last 6
03 Oct · U20 Elite League
2-1
W
29 Sep · U20 Elite League
1-2
W
25 Sep · U20 Elite League
1-3
W
27 Mar · Friendlies
3-3
D
14 Nov · Friendlies
1-1
D
21 Mar · U20 Elite League
1-1
D
Czech Republic U20 · last 6
02 Oct · U20 Elite League
5-0
L
29 Sep · U20 Elite League
2-0
L
30 Mar · U20 Elite League
1-2
L
26 Mar · U20 Elite League
2-1
L
14 Nov · U20 Elite League
1-4
L
13 Oct · U20 Elite League
1-5
W
Head-to-head last 5
14 Oct 24 · U20 Elite League
England U20 3-0 Czech Republic …