NetScore Engine v2

Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK

RISK

Home or Draw · 93.7%

why

• type ledger 79% (n=1997)

• league is untracked (no graded ledger yet)

league track

new league — not enough graded picks to rate

draws 23.3% of matches

team history 3/2 games (180d) · low data

bet type · time of day

DC-1X: 79.0% hit (n=1997, 90d ledger)

measured band: 92.7% (n=164)

evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.4% hit (n=2540)

What we suggest

All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.

Strongest leg · risky

93.7%

Home or Draw

top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.

HIGH risk

Value

No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.

PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade

1X2 — engine vs market

Home win

79.9%

Draw

13.8%

Away win

6.3%

calibrated 11 Nov 17:02

scoring fit λ 2.14 / μ 0.37

model–market gap 0.0%

Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID

backtest pending for this league

fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.

1X2

pick	chance	fair	backtest	verdict
Away win	6.3%	15.83x	–	risky
Draw	13.8%	7.25x	–	risky
top Home win	79.9%	1.25x	–	solid

Form & head-to-head

no H2H record · momentum Guinea 0.5 ppg vs Eritrea 1.17 ppg

Guinea · last 6

01 Oct · Africa Cup of Nations… 0-0 D

26 Sep · Africa Cup of Nations… 2-1 L

04 Jun · Friendlies 1-0 L

31 Mar · Friendlies 0-1 L

27 Mar · Friendlies 2-2 D

18 Nov · Friendlies 1-1 D

Eritrea · last 6

30 Sep · Africa Cup of Nations… 0-5 L

26 Sep · Africa Cup of Nations… 1-1 D

31 Mar · Africa Cup of Nations… 1-2 W

25 Mar · Africa Cup of Nations… 2-0 W

28 May · Friendlies 0-1 L

03 Nov · African Nations Champ… 0-3 L

Head-to-head last 5

First meeting on record.

Guinea vs Eritrea