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UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

Finland U17 vs Scotland U17

Wed 11 Nov 16:00 2 days, 11 hours
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 87.2%
why
• league OK (62.5%, n=8)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
league track
ok · 62.5% of 8 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 30.6%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 3/0 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 85.1% (n=87)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
87.2%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away solid (87.2%)
@ 09 Nov 02:53
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
12.8%
Draw
14.8%
Away win
72.4%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:53
scoring fit λ 0.97 / μ 2.56
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 146 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
72.4%
1.38x 57.5% n=146 solid
Draw
14.8%
6.76x 57.5% n=146 risky
Home win
12.8%
7.79x 57.5% n=146 risky
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Finland U17 2.67 ppg vs Scotland U17 1.5 ppg
Finland U17 · last 6
25 Sep · Friendlies 1-0 W
23 Sep · Friendlies 3-1 W
02 Jul · Friendlies 5-1 W
29 Apr · UEFA U17 Championship… 2-3 W
26 Apr · UEFA U17 Championship… 0-0 D
23 Apr · UEFA U17 Championship… 3-0 W
Scotland U17 · last 6
21 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 1-2 W
18 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 3-0 L
15 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship… 2-0 W
21 Feb · Friendlies 4-2 L
18 Feb · Friendlies 0-2 L
03 Nov · UEFA U17 Championship… 4-1 W
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.
Tickets including this match
VALUE win chance 75.9% OPEN VALUE win chance 77.8% VOID VALUE win chance 77.8% VOID VALUE win chance 77.8% VOID VALUE win chance 77.8% VOID